When Do Draft Software Sales Peak?

Draft season probably peaks in late March. But will DraftKick sales peak before that?

So far, I've had steady sales growth. Volume is still pretty low and the daily numbers are volatile, but the weekly numbers are clearer:

Week Starting Sales
Dec 18 2
Jan 8 1
Jan 15 1
Jan 22 7
Jan 29 3
Feb 5 6
Feb 12 5
Feb 19 15
Feb 26 17
Mar 5 8*

If sales peak in late March, I could maybe do 20, 24, 28, and 10 sales over the next four weeks, taking the total to 139. In that scenario, I'd be set to double my sales from the current figure (just under $2,000) to a little over $4,000 total.

My guess is that that is a bit too rosy. Drafts may peak in late March, but I think people's preparations will peak a little earlier. So maybe the high-water mark is this week, and I finish with 20, 15, 10, 5. That would be 107 sales, good for over $3,200 total.

Anyway, I think that's a pretty good demarcation for expectations. Unless something surprising happens, I think I can easily top 100 sales ($3,000). But maybe I could get as high as $4,000.


Some more nice features came out in these past couple of weeks:

Moving Open Projections

I have had the Open Projections hosted separately from Projectile, which has caused issues trying to manage the mental bandwidth of keeping both sites running. The Open Projections' host also has limited storage (1 GB), and I'm set to hit that limit with the stats from the 2023 season. So I've been thinking I should consolidate the two and move the Open Projections alongside Projectile.

I worked on that this past week, hitting a snag when I kept running out of memory doing the daily projection build for Open Projections! (Despite having limited storage space, apparently that first host was more generous with RAM...) I had to up my hosting from $5 to $20/month, which more than devoured the $5 I saved by cancelling the original Open Projections host.

I'll pay the $20/month in the short-term. But it means that Projectile still isn't turning a profit. Not sure what my next step is... Find a better host? Optimize the projection step somehow? Or kill it off at the end of the season?


Since the last update:

Season total:

DraftKick is available now!

If you're still tracking your draft with a custom spreadsheet or even just pen and paper, you need to try DraftKick.

It is packed with features to help you succeed on draft day:

  • Projected availability
  • Keepers
  • Salary cap (auction) drafts
  • Custom league configuration
  • Editable projections
  • ...and more

It's completely free to try out!


I'm Mays. I've been playing fantasy since I was in high school (over two decades ago).

My speciality has always been player valuation—converting player stats into rankings and salary values. VBD for fantasy football? Rotisserie z-scores? We go way back. In 2009, I started Last Player Picked, a site that generated fantasy values customized for your league.

These days, I'm building DraftKick and Projectile, a fantasy baseball site with in-season projection visualizations.

You can find me on Twitter at @MaysCopeland or email me at mayscopeland@gmail.com.